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IMF to Dispatch Emergency Mission to Pakistan for Mini-Budget Talks

Further ahead, an emergency mission, involving IMF, would be sent to Pakistan at the onset of the next week and will discuss a few tax matters associated with the mini-budget against the backdrop of the newly missed IMF targets and marginally lower than expected tax revenue shortfall.

IMF to Dispatch Emergency Mission to Pakistan for Mini-Budget Talks

The Most Critical Macroeconomic Issues

The IMF has indicated that it will be sending an emergency mission to Pakistan in the coming week, with the specific purpose of discussing a possible mini budget with the government. This increase in the mission is driven by the disappointing performance of Pakistan vis-a-vis the IMF targets forcing a need for the economic reforms.

Tax Revenue Loss Anticipated

The journey is all the more vigorous given the fact that Pakistan is expected to lose tax revenue amounting to Rs321 billion for the first six months of the fiscal year starting from July to December. It has intensified IMF’s pursuit of a mini-budget to redress the fiscal mismatch.

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In Pakistan, Putting the Long Pause on IMF

In the scope of the mentioned mission, and more importantly, as per the available IMF team leader – Mr. Nathan Porter, the staff team will consult with the authorities of Pakistan about the economic state of the country during 11th to the 15th of November. The mission will particularly request the lenders to assess the status on-going of the IMF programme, as well as the diagnosis of the tax collection of the Federal Board of Revenue on quarterly basis during the starting four months of the new financial year.

Some reports showed that this emergency visit occurred because of Pakistan’s inability to convince the IMF of its seriousness in implementing reforms during the makeshift agreement over the internet. Many issues will be discussed at the talks, including negotiations with IPPs, tactics to reduce the circular debt working capital, and the acceleration of services such as the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) and Distribution Companies (DISCOs) transformation.

Mini-Budgetary Perspectives

It is speculated that the intent of a mini-budget is to be done in order to allow for reaching the suggested tax revenue figures. There’s no program review in Sherman but gathered from an IMF source, this visit is a compliance and it has no review. Nevertheless, the revision has been advanced to this year because the current budget status requires an overhaul which may not be feasible at next review in February-March 2025.

Conclusion

It is certain that the situation in Pakistan is truly alarming as evidenced by the persistent economic limitations, particularly the tax originated gap among the revenue expected to be generated and the need of crucial measures. This meeting will assist in outlining the strategic issues necessary for economic performance and reprieve of the previously agreed IMF assistance provisions to Pakistan.

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